Mingaki Iminyaka Yokumbiwa Kwethusi Esasele Emhlabeni Wonke?

Imithombo yethusi yomhlaba wonke, ukugxila, kanye nedatha yokusetshenziswa (USGS + ICSG, 2025–2026)

Qaphela: Izibalo zomphakathi zivame ukubika izindawo zokugcina insimbi yethusi, hhayi “amathani agxilile ngokwezinto ezibonakalayo.” Ukugxila kwethusi kungumkhiqizo ophakathi ngemva kokuzuza; ukugxila ngokomzimba amathani = amathani ensimbi yethusi ÷ grade (isilinganiso sokugxila emhlabeni wonke singaba ngu-20–24%).

1. Izindawo Ezigciniwe Zensimbi Yethusi Eziqinisekisiwe Emhlabeni Wonke (ezimbiwayo ngokwezomnotho)

• Imithombo yensimbi yethusi yomhlaba wonke: amathani ayizigidi ezingu-980 (USGS 2025)
• Imithombo yethusi etholakele iyonke (kufaka phakathi ezomnotho ongaphansi): amathani ayizigidigidi ezingu-2.1
• Isilinganiso sokukhiqizwa kwe-static reserves: cishe iminyaka engama-42 (ngamazinga okumba amanje)

Okokubhekisela kuphela (hhayi izibalo ezisemthethweni):ngokwesilinganiso sama-22%, amathani ayizigidi ezingu-980 ensimbi alingana namathani angaba yizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-4.45 okugxilisa kwethusi okungokoqobo.

Izindawo ezinkulu zokugcina impahla zasemaphandleni (amathani ensimbi):

1. IChile: amathani ayizigidi ezingu-190 (~19% womhlaba wonke)
2. I-Australia: amathani ayizigidi eziyi-100
3. IPeru: amathani ayizigidi ezingu-85
4. I-DRC: amathani ayizigidi ezingu-80
5. IRussia: amathani ayizigidi ezingu-80

2. Ukukhiqizwa Kwezimayini Kwaminyaka Yonke (umthombo wokugxila, insimbi yethusi)

• Imayini yethusi yomhlaba wonke ka-2025 (konke kusuka ku-concentrate kanye ne-SX-EW encane): amathani ayizigidi ezingu-23.2 (ICSG)
• Ukugxila okulinganayo ngokomzimba ku-22% grade: ~105 million tonnes
• I-China ingenisa amathani angaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-24–26 zokugxila ngokomzimba minyaka yonke, okuyiwona mthengi omkhulu kunabo bonke emhlabeni.

3. Ukusetshenziswa Kwethusi Lomhlaba Wonke Kwaminyaka Yonke (ithusi elicwengisisiwe, elekthrolikhi)

• Ukusetshenziswa kwethusi elicwengisisiwe emhlabeni wonke ngo-2025: amathani ayizigidi ezingu-27.7 (ICSG)
  • Ithusi eliyinhloko (elivela ekugxiliseni ukuncibilikisa): ~23.0 million tonnes
  • Ithusi elilahliwe eliphinde lasetshenziswa: ~amathani ayizigidi ezingu-4.7
• IShayina ibiza cishe u-52% wokusetshenziswa komhlaba wonke, kanti ukusetshenziswa kwethusi elicwengisisiwe minyaka yonke kungamathani ayizigidi eziyi-14.5–17.5.
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